SleeperEdge Get early access →

Fantasy Football Intelligence

Pre-season ADP
vs. actual finish.
The gap is your edge.

Three seasons of data mapping who beat their draft position and who burned it. Find the players everyone sleeps on — before your leaguemates do.

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The methodology

Simple data.
Patterns most managers never look for.

01

Index pre-season ADP

We pull consensus ADP from the week before the season for every skill-position player across the last three seasons. That's your community's collective expectations.

02

Map it to actual finishes

We cross-reference those expectations against final PPR point totals and positional rankings. Every player gets a delta: how far they moved from where they were drafted.

03

Surface recurring patterns

One good season is noise. Three years of consistent outperformance or underperformance is a pattern. We show you which players keep repeating — in either direction.

Sample data — 2024 season

This is what it actually shows.

ADP rank vs. positional finish. A positive delta means they outperformed expectations. This is the pattern you're currently missing on draft day.

Late-round steals
PlayerADPFinishDelta
Jordan AddisonWRWR58WR22+36
Jaylen WarrenRBRB87RB38+49
Josh DownsWRWR74WR31+43
Chase BrownRBRB101RB47+54
Overdrafted busts
PlayerADPFinishDelta
Tee HigginsWRWR24WR71−47
DJ MooreWRWR30WR67−37
David MontgomeryRBRB33RB58−25
Evan EngramTETE14TE38−24

Who it's for

Built for the obsessive manager.

The perennial 8th-place finisher

You've done everything right — read every rankings article, watched the combine, tracked the injury reports. And still finished outside the money while someone who barely paid attention won on a late-round flier. You're not the problem. The information you had was the problem.

The manager who trusts consensus — too much

Consensus rankings are everyone's average opinion. They're useful, but they're priced in. The opportunity is in the gap between what the market says a player is worth and what they actually deliver. That gap is what Sleeper Edge measures.

The data person who's done guessing

You know that one data point is an anecdote and three is a trend. You want to see the multi-year patterns — not which sleeper some podcaster is hyping this week, but which player types consistently beat their draft price year after year.

Early access

Get the data before your leaguemates do.

We're launching ahead of the 2025 draft season. Early access gets the full three-season dataset and first look at the patterns before they're public.